Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.541807 1.784111 2.050682 2.365528 2.727069 3.129085 3.609891
2025-03-23 1.237366 1.561937 1.949549 2.445872 3.063900 3.807546 4.769821
2025-03-30 1.010826 1.377410 1.847848 2.494265 3.357911 4.470493 6.011273
2025-04-06 0.823418 1.202321 1.721121 2.480610 3.561243 5.040537 7.216307
2025-04-13 0.647023 1.006849 1.529748 2.340962 3.563399 5.331771 8.078566
2025-04-20 0.565018 0.931185 1.492569 2.410014 3.865333 6.076675 9.682125
2025-04-27 0.510062 0.886100 1.491598 2.529326 4.254201 6.994755 11.663586
2025-05-04 0.452406 0.825798 1.455308 2.583216 4.541437 7.784476 13.538883
2025-05-11 0.399994 0.764984 1.407506 2.607772 4.778313 8.514866 15.401230
2025-05-18 0.342289 0.684665 1.312918 2.534393 4.831042 8.933321 16.771517
2025-05-25 0.287700 0.600889 1.198977 2.407267 4.765424 9.128616 17.757029
2025-06-01 0.256330 0.557368 1.153985 2.402987 4.926233 9.749366 19.594758
2025-06-08 0.221510 0.502207 1.080309 2.335933 4.964530 10.160242 21.117610
2025-06-15 0.209970 0.494754 1.102407 2.467643 5.420613 11.439250 24.515891
2025-06-22 0.195012 0.477262 1.100798 2.548951 5.782930 12.574522 27.765099
2025-06-29 0.175923 0.447036 1.066925 2.554565 5.983030 13.398242 30.463523
2025-07-06 0.149908 0.395767 0.977879 2.422021 5.857928 13.513372 31.645181
2025-07-13 0.140519 0.384041 0.979105 2.500284 6.224797 14.747964 35.462604
2025-07-20 0.134754 0.380638 0.999788 2.628262 6.725463 16.341706 40.290263
2025-07-27 0.125705 0.366974 0.992978 2.686852 7.065464 17.603502 44.490324
2025-08-03 0.116024 0.349905 0.974918 2.713969 7.330392 18.717670 48.467663
2025-08-10 0.102917 0.320833 0.920923 2.638629 7.322872 19.168954 50.867640
2025-08-17 0.089200 0.287468 0.850118 2.506961 7.148382 19.181324 52.156823